Falanqeeyaha maraakiibta Lars Jensen ayaa sheegay in Trump Tariffs 2.0 ay keeni karto "saameyn yo-yo ah," taasoo la micno ah in baahida soo dejinta konteenarada ee Mareykanka ay si weyn isu beddeli karto, oo la mid ah yo-yo, si weyn hoos ugu dhici karto dayrtan oo ay dib u soo kaban doonto 2026.
Xaqiiqdii, marka aan galno 2025, isbeddellada suuqa maraakiibta konteenarrada uma muuqdaan inay raacayaan "qoraalka" sida ay falanqeeyayaashu guud ahaan filayeen. Nasiib wanaag, caqabadda ugu daran - khatarta shaqo joojinta ee dekedaha Xeebta Bari - ayaa laga hortagay. Janaayo 8, Ururka Caalamiga ah ee Longshoremen's Association (ILA) iyo Isbahaysiga Badda Mareykanka (USMX) ayaa ku dhawaaqay heshiis hordhac ah. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, tani runtii waa war wanaagsan oo ku saabsan xasilloonida suuqa maraakiibta konteenarrada sannadka 2025.
Dhanka kale, hirgelinta awoodda oo marxaladaysan oo ay sameeyeen Premier Alliance, iskaashiga "Gemini", iyo Shirkadda Maraakiibta Mediterranean-ka ee goonida ah (MSC) horraantii Febraayo waxay horseedi kartaa jahwareer muddo gaaban ah, laakiin marka la dhammeeyo hirgelinta awoodda, jawi suuq oo deggan oo la isku halleyn karo ayaa la filan karaa 2025, taas oo sidoo kale war wanaagsan u ah maareeyayaasha silsiladda sahayda.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, saameynta Trump Tariffs 2.0 ayaa weli u baahan tixgelin dheeraad ah, gaar ahaan marka la eego dheelitir la'aanta baahida saadka ee suuqa Mareykanka. Xaqiiqdii, khatarta kaliya ee canshuuraha ayaa durba saameyn ku yeelatay suuqa, iyadoo qaar ka mid ah soo dejiyayaasha Mareykanka ay si degdeg ah u "soo dejinayaan shixnadaha" si loo yareeyo khataraha. Laakiin waxa dhici doona 2025 iyo 2026 waxay ku xirnaan doontaa baaxadda iyo baaxadda canshuuraha ugu dambeyntii la hirgeliyay.
Wali ma cadda heerka iyo waqtiga uu dhacayo canshuurta Trump Tariffs 2.0. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, haddii canshuuraha adag la dhaqan geliyo, saameynta yo-yo ayaa soo geli doonta.
Dhanka kale, Adam Lewis, madaxweynaha dilaaliinta kastamka ee Clearit ee Mareykanka, ayaa ka digaya in Trump uu u muuqdo mid go'aan leh, xawaaraha fulintuna uu aad uga dhakhso badan yahay sidii la filayay, isagoo ku boorriyay diyaar garowga.
Wuxuu ka digay, "Waqtiga loo qabtay hirgelinta wuxuu noqon karaa toddobaadyo oo keliya."
Wuxuu tilmaamay in Trump uu isticmaali karo sharciyo gaar ah si uu u dedejiyo hirgelinta, isagoo ka gudbaya wadahadalladii dheeraa ee ka socday Kongareeska.
Sharcigii laga soo saaray 1977 wuxuu u oggolaanayaa madaxweynaha Mareykanka inuu farageliyo ganacsiga caalamiga ah ka dib markii uu ku dhawaaqay xaalad degdeg ah oo qaran si wax looga qabto khatar kasta oo aan caadi ahayn oo soo food saartay Mareykanka. Tan waxaa markii ugu horreysay la isticmaalay xilligii xiisadda afduubka Iiraan ee maamulka Carter.
Warbixinnada ayaa sheegaya in xubnaha kooxda dhaqaalaha ee Trump ay ka wada hadlayaan qorshe lagu kordhinayo canshuuraha qiyaastii 2-5% bishiiba.
Brandon Fried, oo ah agaasimaha fulinta ee Ururka Duulista Hawada (AfA), ayaa qaba walaac la mid ah. Wuxuu xusay, "Waxaan u maleynayaa inaan u baahannahay inaan si dhab ah u qaadanno faallooyinka Trump ee ku saabsan canshuuraha."
AfA waxay ka soo horjeedaa caqabadaha canshuuraha, maadaama ay badanaa kordhiyaan kharashaadka waxayna kicin karaan tallaabooyin aargoosi ah oo sii carqaladeeya ganacsiga. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, wuxuu yiri, "Tareenkan waa mid degdeg ah, mana fududa in laga baxsado."
Adeeggayaga ugu muhiimsan:
·Markabka Badda
·Markabka Cirka
·Hal Qayb oo ka soo degeysa Bakhaarka Dibadda
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Waqtiga boostada: Jan-18-2025
